In mid-July, public opinion swung. The Social Democratic Socialist Party, which was trampling about 16 percent, began to increase. The CDU/CSU Christian Democrats started declining from 29 percent.
Now, it’s just over three weeks before Election Day appears Collecting opinion polls Olaf Schultz is ahead of Armin Laschet by three percentage points (24 and 21 percent, respectively).
Opinion status for German parties
So voters would have voted if there were elections today. (percentage of voters)
Graphics: DN Source: Politico
It seems that Laschet’s efforts regarding the major floods this summer, More than 180 Germans died, still scares voters. On July 17, during a visit to a flooded area, Lachet was seen standing and laughing.
Armin Laschet’s behavior hurts him. Valentin Krellinger, a researcher at the Swedish Institute for European Policy Studies, Sipes, says Olaf Schultz’s well-organized campaign is starting to make an impact at the same time that he is benefiting from the weaknesses of other candidates.
The third candidates To become the federal chancellor is Annalena Barbock of the Green Party, which has about 17 percent in the polls.
The SPD puts social issues at the center of attention and presents Olaf Schulz as a candidate who can follow in the footsteps of the famous Angela Merkel.
– Valentin Krellinger says it pays off in a period of uncertainty where the other two made mistakes.
Olaf Schulz Harriket About being boring and lacking in charisma. He gave him his robotic appearance The nickname “Shulzomat”.
His full expression of his seriousness has attracted voters in the past. It has also been part of Angela Merkel’s success in behaving in this way. His calmness is an advantage at the moment. If the political situation changes to demand strong action, Valentin Krellinger says, calm can instead be criticized.
public opinion level Learn how to make it difficult to form a government. In her campaign appearance, Angela Merkel demanded information from the SPD if it would be willing to give ministerial posts to the left-wing Die Linke party.
Krelinger does not believe the CDU/CSU and SPD will continue to govern together, as they have since the 2017 elections.
– Then there was no alternative. Now neither side wants to continue together. In addition, with the current state of public opinion, a third party would be needed to obtain a majority government, says researcher Sieps.
This means that the Greens and the Free Democratic Party, with 12% in the polls, are more likely to have major roles in which party, the CDU or the SPD, gets the chancellor position.
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