President Emmanuel Macron has been re-elected, but he may not be able to retain a majority in the National Assembly. According to the latest news opinion poll From the Ifop-Fiducial Institute, it is estimated that Macron’s Central Alliance Together (Ensemble) will get between 275 and 310 seats. A minimum of 289 is required for a majority.
It is estimated that the Left Alliance, led by Jean-Luc Mélenchon, has between 170 and 205 seats.
The traditional power party, the Socialist Party – which lost large numbers of voters after François Hollande’s tenure in the presidency – decided after much to join the more radical left Mélenchon movement, Indomitable France, the Green Party and the Communist Party. This cooperation is called the new ecological and social union of the people (Nupes).
Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Assembly is seen at a disadvantage in the country’s smaller one-man constituencies, and is estimated to have between 20 and 50 seats in the assembly.
If Macron gets a lot of opposition in a parliamentary election, he may end up enduring what is usually called cohabitation, “cohabitation”, and governing alongside a government of a different party color.
The elections will be held in two rounds, on the 12th and then on the 19th of June.
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