There is still a long way to go, but a few weeks ago the election campaigns in the United States have already begun. And then it also started to move more in public opinion.
Donald Trump has had a long lead, often very small, but still clear. Especially if you count the states likely to decide the election: Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and perhaps North Carolina as well. There, Trump had the upper hand in all states except Wisconsin.
On Thursday, a Franklin & Marshall poll suddenly showed Joe Biden holding a firm grip on Pennsylvania, one of the swing states that yields the largest number of electoral votes.
Previously within the margin of error
In the previous poll conducted by the institute in February, these results were for both candidates results – Measure against each other only – within the margin of error. Biden has 43 percent and Trump has 42 percent. no Biden leads his opponent by a full ten percentage points – 48 to 38 percent. When considering other potential candidates, such as Jill Stein and RFK Jr. It is even more even, with Biden at 42% and Trump at 40%, but with a larger number of undecided voters. RFK Jr. then gets 9 percent, the same percentage that the most successful “third candidate” of the modern era, Ross Perot, received in 1996.
On the other hand, both Biden and Trump still receive very poor ratings from voters. Only 42% have positive feelings towards Biden, compared to 57% who view him negatively. For Trump, the corresponding numbers are 39 to 60.
In another measure, he published it Wall Street Journal, which was done a week or so ago, looked completely different. There, Trump still leads in six of the seven swing states, including Pennsylvania.
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